Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.786197 0.898138 1.020211 1.163205 1.326116 1.505949 1.719553
2025-02-16 0.610203 0.762804 0.944439 1.176531 1.465269 1.812787 2.263119
2025-02-23 0.496173 0.661392 0.870693 1.155216 1.532043 2.014316 2.679149
2025-03-02 0.421588 0.592219 0.819649 1.144835 1.598056 2.207854 3.091922
2025-03-09 0.370308 0.544336 0.786724 1.148779 1.676134 2.417015 3.538903
2025-03-16 0.329691 0.504731 0.758316 1.152204 1.749006 2.620472 3.992449
2025-03-23 0.298701 0.474582 0.738707 1.163880 1.831692 2.841805 4.489485
2025-03-30 0.264249 0.434574 0.699035 1.139102 1.853780 2.970683 4.853505
2025-04-06 0.235289 0.399649 0.662948 1.114895 1.872170 3.092367 5.213609
2025-04-13 0.207824 0.363944 0.621535 1.076845 1.862612 3.165774 5.498036
2025-04-20 0.202000 0.364048 0.638945 1.138431 2.024678 3.534848 6.312365
2025-04-27 0.194418 0.360125 0.648774 1.187238 2.168269 3.883714 7.121982
2025-05-04 0.185545 0.353317 0.653466 1.228426 2.304238 4.234985 7.976421
2025-05-11 0.174217 0.340831 0.646786 1.248256 2.403359 4.529745 8.757088
2025-05-18 0.158503 0.318301 0.619233 1.225845 2.420516 4.674390 9.267351
2025-05-25 0.145936 0.300537 0.598839 1.214840 2.457754 4.858685 9.869122
2025-06-01 0.136419 0.287836 0.586908 1.219023 2.524547 5.104397 10.612897
2025-06-08 0.127743 0.275943 0.575371 1.222656 2.590063 5.352337 11.382582
2025-06-15 0.120723 0.266794 0.568479 1.235043 2.674355 5.644554 12.269520
2025-06-22 0.110698 0.250161 0.544461 1.208758 2.674237 5.762174 12.795992
2025-06-29 0.101679 0.234833 0.521771 1.183080 2.672730 5.875999 13.323328
2025-07-06 0.092291 0.217740 0.493674 1.142716 2.634886 5.907935 13.671267
2025-07-13 0.091936 0.221368 0.511700 1.208046 2.840525 6.489954 15.313123